Category Archives: Momentum

Identifying Drivers of Trading Strategy Performance

Building a winning strategy, like the one in the e-Mini S&P500 futures described here is only half the challenge:  it remains for the strategy architect to gain an understanding of the sources of strategy alpha, and risk.  This means identifying … Continue reading

Posted in Econometrics, Machine Learning, Mean Reversion, Momentum, Performance Testing, Strategy Development, Systematic Strategies, Volatility Modeling | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Combining Momentum and Mean Reversion Strategies

The Fama-French World For many years now the “gold standard” in factor models has been the 1996 Fama-French 3-factor model: Here r is the portfolio’s expected rate of return, Rf is the risk-free return rate, and Km is the return of the market portfolio. … Continue reading

Posted in Factor Models, Mean Reversion, Momentum, VIX Index, Volatility Modeling | Comments Off on Combining Momentum and Mean Reversion Strategies

Modeling Asset Volatility

I am planning a series of posts on the subject of asset volatility and option pricing and thought I would begin with a survey of some of the central ideas. The attached presentation on Modeling Asset Volatility sets out the foundation … Continue reading

Posted in Black Noise, Cointegration, Derivatives, Direction Prediction, Dispersion, Forecasting, Fractional Brownian Motion, Fractional Cointegration, Fractional Integration, Long Memory, Mean Reversion, Momentum, Multifactor Models, Options, Pink Noise, REGARCH, Regime Shifts, Volatility Modeling, White Noise | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments Off on Modeling Asset Volatility